Learn to recognize hazard trees after a fire

Amanda Rau
EM 9558 | July 2025 |

What makes a tree hazardous?

A tree is considered hazardous if it has defects or structural weaknesses that may cause failure, resulting in property damage, personal injury or death. The postburn environment surrounding a hazardous tree can be equally, if not more, dangerous than the tree itself.

Common prefire factors in tree failure

  • Tree species
  • Age
  • Decay
  • Wounds
  • Cankers
  • Seams
  • Lean
  • Branch angle
  • Branch type
  • Crown vigor
  • Crown form or shape
  • Root condition

Common postfire factors in tree failure

  • State of life
  • Burned-out roots
  • Limb weight
  • Hollowed boles
  • Leaning or root sprung (exposed roots)
  • Loose overhead limbs ("widowmakers")
  • Resinous vs. nonresinous
  • Broken or uprooted trees supported by other trees
  • Catfaces and other impacts to the percentage of sound bole wood
  • Incineration or other indicators of weakness (conks, mushrooms, etc.)

Let's examine two significant hazard tree traits: whether it produces resin, and whether the tree is alive or dead.

Resinous vs. nonresinous species

Resinous trees secrete a sticky, decay-resistant substance that helps protect against injury or infection. Resin contains volatile oils that are flammable.

Douglas-fir, larch and pine are resinous trees.

Spruce is partially resinous, while fir and hemlock trees are not resinous.

Cedar is nonresinous but resistant to decay. Hardwoods are also nonresinous, but some are more decay-resistant than others.

Living vs. dead

Dead trees have a high potential for failure.

Live trees should not automatically be considered to have a low potential for failure if they have been damaged by fire or present other signs of failure.

Postfire hazard tree assessments

Based upon probabilities as well as some assumptions about the future:

  • Is the tree likely to fail or fall?
  • When is tree likely to fail or fall?
  • Is a target likely to be present when the tree fails or falls?

Inspection and hazard assessments

  • Check to ensure entry and exit from areas surrounding the tree are safe.
  • Start at tree bottom or top, depending on height, damage and initial observations of potential failure
  • Use binoculars
  • Check from all angles
  • Look for targets
  • Document results
  • Consider using a hazard assessment for decision-making

Seven steps to develop a tree risk rating

  1. Identify the possible target.
  2. Identify the tree part(s) that could strike the target.
  3. Evaluate the likelihood of each part failing. Is failure improbable, possible, probable or imminent?
  4. Evaluate the likelihood of the tree part striking the target. Is it very low, low, medium or high?
  5. For each failure mode, identify the likelihood of tree failure impacting a specified target. Is it very unlikely, unlikely, somewhat likely, likely or very likely?
  6. For each failure mode, estimate the consequences of failure. Are they negligible, minor, significant or severe?
  7. For each failure mode, designate the risk — low, moderate, high or extreme.

Example of International Society of Arboriculture rating system

Table 1. Matrix used to estimate the likelihood of a tree failure impacting a specified target

Likelihood of impacting target
Likelihood of failure
Very low
Low
Medium
High
Imminent
Unlikely Somewhat likely Likely Very likely
Probable
Unlikely Unlikely Somewhat likely Likely
Possible
Unlikely Unlikely Unlikely Somewhat likely
Improbable
Unlikely Unlikely Unlikely Unlikely

Table 2. Risk rating matrix showing the level of risk as the combination of the likelihood of a tree falling and impacting a specified target, and the severity of associated consequences

Consequences
Likelihood of failure and impact
Negligible
Minor
Significant
Severe
Very likely
Low Moderate High Extreme
Likely
Low Moderate High High
Somewhat likely
Low Low Moderate Moderate
Unlikely
Low Low Low Low

References

  • Field Guide for Hazard-tree Identification and Mitigation On Developed Sites in Oregon and Washington Forests. U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Oregon Department of Forestry and Washington State Department of Natural Resources. 2014.
  • A Guide to Identifying, Assessing, and Managing Hazard Trees in Developed Recreational Sites of the Northern Rocky Mountains and the Intermountain West. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, 2017.
  • International Society of Arborists Tree Risk Assessment Manual, Second Edition, 2017.

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